{"enrichment":{"faq":[{"a":"Montecarlo executes Monte Carlo simulations across 10,000 market scenarios to forecast income probabilities, margin safety metrics, and portfolio performance over a 28-month horizon. The skill auto-detects current portfolio values and supports a 4-layer structure (Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL positions) with monthly deployment tracking.","q":"What is Montecarlo and how does it run simulations?"},{"a":"Yes. Montecarlo performs statistical sampling and distribution modeling to quantify uncertainty and variability in estimates. It generates confidence intervals and forecast ranges, enabling you to assess risk through stochastic computation and understand the full range of possible outcomes across your portfolio scenarios.","q":"Can Montecarlo perform monte carlo statistical analysis?"},{"a":"Montecarlo quantifies uncertainty and variability in estimates by running probabilistic analysis across thousands of scenarios. This stochastic approach reveals margin safety metrics and income probability distributions, helping you understand confidence intervals and forecast ranges for your financial projections.","q":"How does Montecarlo handle uncertainty quantification?"},{"a":"Montecarlo supports a 4-layer portfolio structure comprising Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL positions. The skill auto-detects your current portfolio values and tracks monthly deployment across these layers, enabling comprehensive risk assessment and performance forecasting over your 28-month analysis horizon.","q":"What portfolio structures does Montecarlo support?"},{"a":"Montecarlo assesses risk through stochastic computation by running 10,000 market scenarios and calculating probability distributions for key metrics. This numerical computation approach reveals variability in estimates and generates confidence intervals, allowing you to quantify downside risks and understand portfolio resilience under different market conditions.","q":"How can Montecarlo help with risk assessment?"}],"shadow_tags":["stochastic-simulation","probability-analysis","uncertainty-quantification","numerical-methods","statistical-modeling","risk-computation","sampling-algorithm","monte-carlo-method"],"summary_rewrite":"This skill executes Monte Carlo simulations across 10,000 market scenarios to forecast income probabilities, margin safety metrics, and portfolio performance over a 28-month horizon. It auto-detects current portfolio values and supports a 4-layer structure (Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL positions) with monthly deployment tracking."},"gist":{"api_url":"https://skillfed.io/api/skills/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo.json","as_of":"2026-07-27","description":"Monte Carlo runs 10,000 market scenarios to project dividend income probabilities and margin safety. npx skillfed install AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo","install":{"manual":["git clone https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","cp -r Finance-Guru ~/.claude/skills/MonteCarlo"],"primary":"npx skillfed install AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo","version":"d4b3e247"},"kind":"skill","mirror_url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo.md","similar":[{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-core","name":"Fin Core","publisher":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-core"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/margin-management","name":"Margin Management","publisher":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/margin-management"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-guru-create-doc","name":"Fin Guru Create Doc","publisher":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-guru-create-doc"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/PortfolioSyncing","name":"Portfoliosyncing","publisher":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/PortfolioSyncing"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/FinanceReport","name":"Financereport","publisher":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru","url":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/FinanceReport"}],"title":"Montecarlo by AojdevStudio: Run Monte Carlo simulations for probabilistic analysis \u2014 SkillFed","use":{"when":["Yes.","Montecarlo quantifies uncertainty and variability in estimates by running probabilistic analysis across thousands of scenarios."]},"what":{"lead":"Monte Carlo runs 10,000 market scenarios to project dividend income probabilities and margin safety for your portfolio.","rest":"This skill executes Monte Carlo simulations across 10,000 market scenarios to forecast income probabilities, margin safety metrics, and portfolio performance over a 28-month horizon. It auto-detects current portfolio values and supports a 4-layer structure (Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL positions) with monthly deployment tracking."}},"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo","install":{"mode":"external","repo":"https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru"},"links":{"html":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo","md":"https://skillfed.io/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/MonteCarlo.md","repo":"https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru"},"meta":{"agents_supported":["claude-code"],"first_seen":"2026-07-28","forks":107,"language":"Python","last_updated":"2026-07-27","license":"NOASSERTION","name":"Montecarlo","publisher":"AojdevStudio","stars":315},"relations":{"similar":[{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-core"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/margin-management"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-guru-create-doc"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/PortfolioSyncing"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/FinanceReport"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/formula-protection"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/fin-guru-checklist"},{"id":"travisjneuman/.claude/financial-scenario-planner"},{"id":"JoelLewis/finance_skills/financial-planning-workflow"},{"id":"AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/dividend-tracking"}]},"slug":{"owner":"AojdevStudio","repo":"Finance-Guru","skill":"MonteCarlo"},"version":"d4b3e247"}